Every prediction the oracle made on a fresh Robinhood Chain token, resolved against what actually happened. Nothing edited, nothing deleted — the misses stay.
🛰️ Rebuilding. The oracle's data was wiped and restarted after a sensor fix, and the scoring itself was corrected since these resolved — the old version flagged over half the chain as "fragile", which carried no information. Every resolution so far is still listed below, misses included; a headline hit rate only appears here once the sample is big enough to mean something.
Predictions still running — made in advance, not cherry-picked. Note them, come back, check. The model has seen too few resolved rugs to state a real probability yet, so it shows its reading and a live countdown instead of a number it cannot back.
$The Pole er Bear
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 4m after launch · resolves at 00:30 UTC
$WIZARD
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 1m after launch · resolves at 23:45 UTC
$VLADDOTFUN
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 2m after launch · resolves at 00:15 UTC
$smol
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 3m after launch · resolves at 02:00 UTC
$GAI
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 2m after launch · resolves at 00:45 UTC
$SWOLE
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 1m after launch · resolves at 01:30 UTC
$LGG
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 1m after launch · resolves at 01:15 UTC
$robin
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 2m after launch · resolves at 02:30 UTC
$wHOOD
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 1m after launch · resolves at 05:15 UTC
$MNGA
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 1m after launch · resolves at 05:15 UTC
$IF
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 2m after launch · resolves at 00:15 UTC
$1
fragile
calibrating
…
flagged 4m after launch · resolves at 00:00 UTC
A probability is only worth something if it's calibrated: when the model says "80% rug", ~80% should actually rug. (Fills in as calls resolve, and especially once survivors enter the data.)
$DERP
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 20:45
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -5%, price -6%
$DICKBUTT
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 20:15
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -1%, price -3%
$Nenem
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 19:45
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -1%, price -2%
$FOX
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 19:15
thin liquidity ($4k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -37%, price -23%
$SHIBBO
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 19:15
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -7%, price -8%
$MELON
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 19:00
thin liquidity ($5k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -45%, price -16%
$KINS
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 18:30
thin liquidity ($4k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity +0%, price +0%
$RITHWIK
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 18:00
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity +0%, price -2%
$EggDog
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 18:00
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -1%, price -3%
$VLAD
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 17:45
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) → liquidity -2%, price -13%
$CASLTE
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 17:15
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) → liquidity -8%, price -10%
$JMKE
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 16:45
thin liquidity ($6k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) → liquidity -45%, price -50%
$CLANKER
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 16:15
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -1%, price -2%
$PP
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 15:30
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity +1%, price +0%
$OCHO
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 15:15
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) · unproven deployer → liquidity -1%, price +1%
$GENNY
fragile, watching
survived
✗
2026-07-21 14:45
thin liquidity ($3k, below the chain's 8k floor right now) → liquidity -20%, price -11%
Methodology: for every newborn token, the oracle records a forward call (rug risk / fragile / healthy) from liquidity, deployer history, on-chain funding and buy/sell flow. 12h later it's resolved against reality — a token is rugged if liquidity collapsed or price fell ~80%+, mooned at +200%+, else survived. A call counts as correct if it flagged risk on something that rugged, or called healthy on something that didn't. Updated every 15 min · 16 entries shown · last update 2026-07-22 18:00.